Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000518 0.000600 0.000687 0.000788 0.000899 0.001018 0.001155
2025-07-06 0.000380 0.000489 0.000615 0.000770 0.000953 0.001161 0.001413
2025-07-13 0.000323 0.000446 0.000596 0.000788 0.001023 0.001301 0.001649
2025-07-20 0.000277 0.000409 0.000576 0.000799 0.001082 0.001426 0.001868
2025-07-27 0.000235 0.000369 0.000546 0.000790 0.001111 0.001510 0.002037
2025-08-03 0.000199 0.000332 0.000515 0.000777 0.001130 0.001580 0.002186
2025-08-10 0.000177 0.000311 0.000503 0.000786 0.001176 0.001685 0.002380
2025-08-17 0.000155 0.000289 0.000487 0.000786 0.001209 0.001770 0.002550
2025-08-24 0.000131 0.000258 0.000455 0.000761 0.001205 0.001805 0.002654
2025-08-31 0.000110 0.000232 0.000426 0.000738 0.001201 0.001839 0.002755
2025-09-07 0.000097 0.000216 0.000412 0.000735 0.001225 0.001910 0.002906
2025-09-14 0.000086 0.000201 0.000399 0.000732 0.001248 0.001980 0.003057
2025-09-21 0.000074 0.000184 0.000381 0.000721 0.001259 0.002034 0.003190
2025-09-28 0.000063 0.000167 0.000361 0.000706 0.001261 0.002075 0.003305
2025-10-05 0.000058 0.000162 0.000361 0.000722 0.001313 0.002189 0.003524
2025-10-12 0.000053 0.000155 0.000357 0.000732 0.001356 0.002290 0.003728
2025-10-19 0.000046 0.000144 0.000344 0.000724 0.001368 0.002346 0.003867
2025-10-26 0.000039 0.000132 0.000328 0.000712 0.001372 0.002389 0.003987
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000126 0.000325 0.000720 0.001411 0.002485 0.004187
2025-11-09 0.000032 0.000119 0.000317 0.000720 0.001435 0.002559 0.004354
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000107 0.000298 0.000697 0.001419 0.002570 0.004427
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000096 0.000280 0.000675 0.001404 0.002582 0.004502
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000090 0.000272 0.000673 0.001422 0.002645 0.004655